Throwing In The Towel On The Phillies

I’m throwing in the towels on the Phillies 1,000-1 bet. They had a chance to make up ground the past two weekends and have only gone backwards.

Last weekend they lost 3 of 4 to the woeful Houston Astros. Had they won 3 of 4 they would have still been in the mix for a playoff spot. Still…there was a little life left after taking 3 in a row from the New York Mets. Unfortunately this weekend they lost 2 of 3 to the Atlanta Braves and fell 5 games behind the second Wild Card spot with 10 games to play. They also fell behind the Arizona Diamondbacks and are only 5-5 in their last 10 games.

The dream is over.

I lost $20 on a 1,000-1 shot and had a blast following the games for two weeks before throwing in the towel. The Phils still have a chance to win that Wild Card spot but I won’t hold my breath.

This was one of the most fun bets I’ve ever made. I don’t like betting futures because I don’t study enough to make tying my money up for so long worth it. However, these short term low risk and high reward futures bets seem like fun and I will probably do this again towards the end of the football season.

Phillies Now 60-1 To Win World Series at Caesars

There’s been a lot of movement since Sunday’s bets on the Phillies to win the World Series.

Here’s a refresher in case you missed the previous article. On Sunday a friend and I each bet $20 on a futures bet for the Phillies to win the World Series at 1,000-1. As I shared, he bet first and after contemplating the wager I ran to the Planet Hollywood (owned by Caesars) sportsbook to place my bet before the odds changed.

I was half joking when I said that our two $20 wagers would move the line. This morning a friend asked me to place two more wagers for him. These were $30. Again, not big bets just more fun bets.

At the time Rio (also owned by Caesars) was 200-1. At 7pm on Tuesday night the line was down to 60-1 at Caesars properties. The line was 150-1 at MGM properties and at sportsbook.ag.

I’m not sure our hundred dollars of bets really moved the line, but it’s possible and this bet has already been more fun than any baseball bets I’ve made all year. At the same time, the Brewers were 500-1 to win the World Series on Sunday at Planet Hollywood and still there this morning at Rio.

With both teams winning last night, I have to imagine both the Phillies and Brewers will get continue to get money bet on them. The Brewers odds went from 500-1 to 250-1 to win it all and should continue to fall, while the Phillies will probably get less money and settle at 60-1.

I’m obsessed with this bet. If you follow me on twitter you know this. #GoPhils

Phillies at 1,000-1!

If you follow me on this blog or anywhere else you’ll know that I’m a Yankees fan and like to bet on sports. I’m also a Jets fan, but that’s not important right now.

Even though I live in Las Vegas I’m not a professional gambler. Nor do I want to be a professional gambler. I’m asked whether I am or not on twitter much more than I should be on twitter.

I had friends in town from the east coast this weekend and after showing them around downtown Vegas on Saturday we watched football on the strip at Planet Hollywood where they were staying. We love Blondies and had to try Flavor Flav’s fried chicken. (See thoughts on Flav’s chicken at Vegas Chatter.)

While I’m not a professional gambler I’m a little more educated on gambling gaming than your average Joe. I’ve been writing about and researching gaming for a few years. I’d like to think I’ve learned something over that time. Still, I gamble for fun…not for a pay check. Of course I want to win, but that’s not going to happen all the time.

Baseball is my favorite sport so I think I know “value” when I see it. While cashing a football ticket at Planet Hollywood my friend saw the Phillies at 1,000-1 odds to win the World Series. He and another friend dropped a $20 on that bet. Hey, it pays $20,000 if they win. Why not?

I took a few minutes before doing anything on my own. The Phillies were 6 games out of a playoff spot but had a game in hand on the Brewers who were only 500-1. Both teams were .5 games aparts by record and Phillies have a better pitching staff while the Brewers have better hitting. If they’re equal on so many levels why are the Brewers offered at half the price? I see the value on the Phillies relative to the Brewers and other long shots.

The playoffs are about pitching, so if the Phillies remain the hot team and somehow make it to the playoffs they have a better chance to advance than the Brewers, if they even make it. Momentum is great in the playoffs. Dropping $20 on the Phillies sounds like a more interesting spend of $20 than playing 6/5 Bonus Poker at the bar.

After contemplating their current record and future schedule I ran to the sportsbook at Planet Hollywood. My friends big bets didn’t move the odds yet (I’m half joking) so I decided to join them with a $20 bet on the Phillies to win the World Series.

I know this isn’t a large bet, but for me it’s an S&G (shits n giggles) bet that has a pretty sweet payout of $20,000. There’s definitely some value in that 1,000-1 number compared to the other long shots and this will make the last couple weeks of the baseball season worth watching a little more.

MLB App

In fact, tonight I went a little crazy with baseball. I was flipping between the MLB app, MLB TV and the Fox Sports to check on the following games.

  • Marlins at Phillies
  • Cardinals at Padres
  • Pirates at Reds
  • Braves at Brewers

It was a pretty intense situation tonight and everything fell right on the first night having this bet in place.

Gambling isn’t always about the money at stake for me, it’s about the win. I like to win. While the risk of here is small, the payoff is huge. I don’t need betting on baseball to keep me interested in the game while footballseason kicks off, but it certainly doesn’t hurt!

This will be fun regardless if I win $20k or lose $20. For the next few weeks,

#GoYanks!
#GoPhils!

…also #GoJets while we’re at it.

Baseball Futures: World Series

Spring Training is here and it’s time for baseball!  This is one of my favorite times of the year.  Since I’m so stoked I think it’s time to look forward to the season with MLB futures odds.  We’ll look at the futures from sportsbook.com from division winners and then to win the world series.  As always, check sportsbook.com for exact odds as they change all the time.

I don’t like to make many futures bets, in part, because I don’t like to have my money tied up for almost an entire year.  That being said I decided to make one baseball futures play this year and that’s all.  I shared that with you yesterday with the NL Championship futures.

Besides the Brewers, my lone plays for the season is watching as many games as possible and playing in my one fantasy baseball.  I don’t think much about the options beyond the favorites (Phillies and Red Sox) for the World Series and betting chalk bores me so I stay away.  Click any team below to go to sportsbook.com for up to date odds.

World Series

Arizona Diamondbacks +10000
Atlanta Braves +2000
Baltimore Orioles +6000
Boston Red Sox +400
Chicago Cubs +3000
Chicago White Sox +2500
Cincinnati Reds +2500
Cleveland Indians +20000
Colorado Rockies +2500
Detroit Tigers    +2500
Florida Marlins +3500
Houston Astros     +10000
Kansas City Royals +20000
Los Angeles Angels +2500
Los Angeles Dodgers +3000
Milwaukee Brewers +3000
Minnesota Twins +2000
New York Mets +6000
New York Yankees +700
Oakland Athletics +5000
Philadelphia Phillies +200
Pittsburgh Pirates +20000
San Diego Padres +10000
San Francisco Giants +1500
Seattle Mariners +10000
St Louis Cardinals +1600
Tampa Bay Rays +2500
Texas Rangers +2000
Toronto Blue Jays +6000
Washington Nationals +10000

Baseball Futures: National League

Spring Training is here and it’s time for baseball!  This is one of my favorite times of the year.  Since I’m so stoked I think it’s time to look forward to the season with MLB futures odds.  We’ll look at the futures from sportsbook.com from division winners and then to win the world series.  As always, check sportsbook.com for exact odds as they change all the time.

I don’t like to make many futures bets, in part, because I don’t like to have my money tied up for almost an entire year.  That being said I decided to make one baseball futures play this year and that’s all.

The Phillies are the obvious favorite to win the National League with their amazing pitching staff.  They were also big favorites last year when the San Francisco Giants picked them apart with their great pitching.  The Giants are only 7.5-1 to win the NL this year.  That’s not long enough odds to me for a team that got hot at the right time.  My one and only play in baseball futures went to the Milwaukee Brewers.  I saw (and bet) them at Planet Hollywood at 25-1 to win the NL and they’re now 15-1 everywhere.  The Brewers added some excellent pitchers and have Prince Fielder playing for a free agent contract next year.  They should still have long odds to the Phillies, but I think they have a lot in their favor and will keep my fingers crossed watching one of my favorite teams in baseball all season.

Click any team below to go to sportsbook.com for up to date odds.

NL
Arizona Diamondbacks +5000
Atlanta Braves +1000
Chicago Cubs +1500
Cincinnati Reds +1200
Colorado Rockies +1200
Florida Marlins +1800
Houston Astros +5000
Los Angeles Dodgers +1500
Milwaukee Brewers +1500
New York Mets +3000
Philadelphia Phillies -120
Pittsburgh Pirates +20000
San Diego Padres +5000
San Francisco Giants +750
St Louis Cardinals +800
Washington Nationals +5000