Throwing In The Towel On The Phillies

I’m throwing in the towels on the Phillies 1,000-1 bet. They had a chance to make up ground the past two weekends and have only gone backwards.

Last weekend they lost 3 of 4 to the woeful Houston Astros. Had they won 3 of 4 they would have still been in the mix for a playoff spot. Still…there was a little life left after taking 3 in a row from the New York Mets. Unfortunately this weekend they lost 2 of 3 to the Atlanta Braves and fell 5 games behind the second Wild Card spot with 10 games to play. They also fell behind the Arizona Diamondbacks and are only 5-5 in their last 10 games.

The dream is over.

I lost $20 on a 1,000-1 shot and had a blast following the games for two weeks before throwing in the towel. The Phils still have a chance to win that Wild Card spot but I won’t hold my breath.

This was one of the most fun bets I’ve ever made. I don’t like betting futures because I don’t study enough to make tying my money up for so long worth it. However, these short term low risk and high reward futures bets seem like fun and I will probably do this again towards the end of the football season.

Phillies Now 60-1 To Win World Series at Caesars

There’s been a lot of movement since Sunday’s bets on the Phillies to win the World Series.

Here’s a refresher in case you missed the previous article. On Sunday a friend and I each bet $20 on a futures bet for the Phillies to win the World Series at 1,000-1. As I shared, he bet first and after contemplating the wager I ran to the Planet Hollywood (owned by Caesars) sportsbook to place my bet before the odds changed.

I was half joking when I said that our two $20 wagers would move the line. This morning a friend asked me to place two more wagers for him. These were $30. Again, not big bets just more fun bets.

At the time Rio (also owned by Caesars) was 200-1. At 7pm on Tuesday night the line was down to 60-1 at Caesars properties. The line was 150-1 at MGM properties and at sportsbook.ag.

I’m not sure our hundred dollars of bets really moved the line, but it’s possible and this bet has already been more fun than any baseball bets I’ve made all year. At the same time, the Brewers were 500-1 to win the World Series on Sunday at Planet Hollywood and still there this morning at Rio.

With both teams winning last night, I have to imagine both the Phillies and Brewers will get continue to get money bet on them. The Brewers odds went from 500-1 to 250-1 to win it all and should continue to fall, while the Phillies will probably get less money and settle at 60-1.

I’m obsessed with this bet. If you follow me on twitter you know this. #GoPhils

Phillies at 1,000-1!

If you follow me on this blog or anywhere else you’ll know that I’m a Yankees fan and like to bet on sports. I’m also a Jets fan, but that’s not important right now.

Even though I live in Las Vegas I’m not a professional gambler. Nor do I want to be a professional gambler. I’m asked whether I am or not on twitter much more than I should be on twitter.

I had friends in town from the east coast this weekend and after showing them around downtown Vegas on Saturday we watched football on the strip at Planet Hollywood where they were staying. We love Blondies and had to try Flavor Flav’s fried chicken. (See thoughts on Flav’s chicken at Vegas Chatter.)

While I’m not a professional gambler I’m a little more educated on gambling gaming than your average Joe. I’ve been writing about and researching gaming for a few years. I’d like to think I’ve learned something over that time. Still, I gamble for fun…not for a pay check. Of course I want to win, but that’s not going to happen all the time.

Baseball is my favorite sport so I think I know “value” when I see it. While cashing a football ticket at Planet Hollywood my friend saw the Phillies at 1,000-1 odds to win the World Series. He and another friend dropped a $20 on that bet. Hey, it pays $20,000 if they win. Why not?

I took a few minutes before doing anything on my own. The Phillies were 6 games out of a playoff spot but had a game in hand on the Brewers who were only 500-1. Both teams were .5 games aparts by record and Phillies have a better pitching staff while the Brewers have better hitting. If they’re equal on so many levels why are the Brewers offered at half the price? I see the value on the Phillies relative to the Brewers and other long shots.

The playoffs are about pitching, so if the Phillies remain the hot team and somehow make it to the playoffs they have a better chance to advance than the Brewers, if they even make it. Momentum is great in the playoffs. Dropping $20 on the Phillies sounds like a more interesting spend of $20 than playing 6/5 Bonus Poker at the bar.

After contemplating their current record and future schedule I ran to the sportsbook at Planet Hollywood. My friends big bets didn’t move the odds yet (I’m half joking) so I decided to join them with a $20 bet on the Phillies to win the World Series.

I know this isn’t a large bet, but for me it’s an S&G (shits n giggles) bet that has a pretty sweet payout of $20,000. There’s definitely some value in that 1,000-1 number compared to the other long shots and this will make the last couple weeks of the baseball season worth watching a little more.

MLB App

In fact, tonight I went a little crazy with baseball. I was flipping between the MLB app, MLB TV and the Fox Sports to check on the following games.

  • Marlins at Phillies
  • Cardinals at Padres
  • Pirates at Reds
  • Braves at Brewers

It was a pretty intense situation tonight and everything fell right on the first night having this bet in place.

Gambling isn’t always about the money at stake for me, it’s about the win. I like to win. While the risk of here is small, the payoff is huge. I don’t need betting on baseball to keep me interested in the game while footballseason kicks off, but it certainly doesn’t hurt!

This will be fun regardless if I win $20k or lose $20. For the next few weeks,

#GoYanks!
#GoPhils!

…also #GoJets while we’re at it.

Does This Mean Orel Hershiser Can Play Poker Again?

The Los Angeles Dodgers were sold earlier this week to a group lead by Magic Johnson for $2 billion. The purchase has a lot of implications. Most revolve around the purchase price and how the team will be able to be improved. That’s not really a concern of mine.

In this bidding process a group that included former Dodgers player Orel Hershiser and Steve Garvey lost. They proposed the renovations of Dodger Stadium above.  I’m not sure adding seats to a stadium people don’t want to visit is a smart move, but we’ll probably never see that.

What’s interesting is the timing of the decision. Major League Baseball waited to the very last minute before the season started to announce the new owners. This left very little time before the start of the season for the purchase details to take place. The team will be in limbo for a little while waiting for the new owners to take over.

In the purchase process Orel Hershiser has seemingly stopped playing poker. He’s been an aspiring poker pro for a few years now. His poker home has been Red Rock Casino. Nobody has seen him in some time. Now that the baseball season is starting he’ll be on the road covering games for ESPN for the summer.

I wonder is Orel Hershiser’s quest for poker greatness will resume. I’ll keep an eye out for him at Red Rock Casino on his off days.

Baseball Futures: World Series

Spring Training is here and it’s time for baseball!  This is one of my favorite times of the year.  Since I’m so stoked I think it’s time to look forward to the season with MLB futures odds.  We’ll look at the futures from sportsbook.com from division winners and then to win the world series.  As always, check sportsbook.com for exact odds as they change all the time.

I don’t like to make many futures bets, in part, because I don’t like to have my money tied up for almost an entire year.  That being said I decided to make one baseball futures play this year and that’s all.  I shared that with you yesterday with the NL Championship futures.

Besides the Brewers, my lone plays for the season is watching as many games as possible and playing in my one fantasy baseball.  I don’t think much about the options beyond the favorites (Phillies and Red Sox) for the World Series and betting chalk bores me so I stay away.  Click any team below to go to sportsbook.com for up to date odds.

World Series

Arizona Diamondbacks +10000
Atlanta Braves +2000
Baltimore Orioles +6000
Boston Red Sox +400
Chicago Cubs +3000
Chicago White Sox +2500
Cincinnati Reds +2500
Cleveland Indians +20000
Colorado Rockies +2500
Detroit Tigers    +2500
Florida Marlins +3500
Houston Astros     +10000
Kansas City Royals +20000
Los Angeles Angels +2500
Los Angeles Dodgers +3000
Milwaukee Brewers +3000
Minnesota Twins +2000
New York Mets +6000
New York Yankees +700
Oakland Athletics +5000
Philadelphia Phillies +200
Pittsburgh Pirates +20000
San Diego Padres +10000
San Francisco Giants +1500
Seattle Mariners +10000
St Louis Cardinals +1600
Tampa Bay Rays +2500
Texas Rangers +2000
Toronto Blue Jays +6000
Washington Nationals +10000

Baseball Futures: National League

Spring Training is here and it’s time for baseball!  This is one of my favorite times of the year.  Since I’m so stoked I think it’s time to look forward to the season with MLB futures odds.  We’ll look at the futures from sportsbook.com from division winners and then to win the world series.  As always, check sportsbook.com for exact odds as they change all the time.

I don’t like to make many futures bets, in part, because I don’t like to have my money tied up for almost an entire year.  That being said I decided to make one baseball futures play this year and that’s all.

The Phillies are the obvious favorite to win the National League with their amazing pitching staff.  They were also big favorites last year when the San Francisco Giants picked them apart with their great pitching.  The Giants are only 7.5-1 to win the NL this year.  That’s not long enough odds to me for a team that got hot at the right time.  My one and only play in baseball futures went to the Milwaukee Brewers.  I saw (and bet) them at Planet Hollywood at 25-1 to win the NL and they’re now 15-1 everywhere.  The Brewers added some excellent pitchers and have Prince Fielder playing for a free agent contract next year.  They should still have long odds to the Phillies, but I think they have a lot in their favor and will keep my fingers crossed watching one of my favorite teams in baseball all season.

Click any team below to go to sportsbook.com for up to date odds.

NL
Arizona Diamondbacks +5000
Atlanta Braves +1000
Chicago Cubs +1500
Cincinnati Reds +1200
Colorado Rockies +1200
Florida Marlins +1800
Houston Astros +5000
Los Angeles Dodgers +1500
Milwaukee Brewers +1500
New York Mets +3000
Philadelphia Phillies -120
Pittsburgh Pirates +20000
San Diego Padres +5000
San Francisco Giants +750
St Louis Cardinals +800
Washington Nationals +5000

Baseball Futures: American League

Spring Training is here and it’s time for baseball!  This is one of my favorite times of the year.  Since I’m so stoked I think it’s time to look forward to the season with MLB futures odds.  We’ll look at the futures from sportsbook.com by winning divisions and then to win the world series.  As always, check sportsbook.com for exact odds as they change all the time.

I don’t like to make many futures bets, in part, because I don’t like to have my money tied up for almost an entire year.  That being said I decided to make one baseball futures play this year and that’s all.

I didn’t see anything intriguing in the AL this year because I don’t see anyone challenging the Boston Red Sox for the league.  The only team I think may be a viable long shot are the Chicago White Sox since they should have be able to bomb and have a good short playoff rotation (if they make it), but they’ve gone from 15-1 in the winter to 10-1 this week.  About half the value was lost in that time.  That kept me away.

Click any team below to go to sportsbook.com for up to date odds.

Baltimore Orioles +2500
Boston Red Sox +175
Chicago White Sox +1000
Cleveland Indians +12500
Detroit Tigers +1000
Kansas City Royals +20000
Los Angeles Angels +1000
Minnesota Twins +800
New York Yankees +275
Oakland Athletics +2000
Seattle Mariners +4000
Tampa Bay Rays +1000
Texas Rangers +800
Toronto Blue Jays +2500

Baseball Futures

I love baseball.  I have many ties to baseball, but growing up on the east coast baseball season usually meant spring was just around the corner.

I’m a Yankees fan.  I grew up a Yankees fan and I’ll always be a Yankees fan.  With that said, I would be looking to the National League for any baseball futures bets.  I don’t see any surprises in the AL.  However, the NL has a chance at an upset.  Odds are below.

Odds are from sportsbook.com

Arizona Diamondbacks +3000
Atlanta Braves +2000
Baltimore Orioles +6000
Boston Red Sox +600
Chicago Cubs +1500
Chicago White Sox +2000
Cincinnati Reds +3000
Cleveland Indians +6000
Colorado Rockies +2500
Detroit Tigers +4000
Florida Marlins +3000
Houston Astros +10000
Kansas City Royals +10000
Los Angeles Angels +2500
Los Angeles Dodgers +2500
Milwaukee Brewers +5000
Minnesota Twins +2500
New York Mets +4000
New York Yankees +275
Oakland Athletics +4000
Philadelphia Phillies +600
Pittsburgh Pirates +10000
San Diego Padres +10000
San Francisco Giants +3000
Seattle Mariners +2000
St Louis Cardinals +1200
Tampa Bay Rays +1200
Texas Rangers +2500
Toronto Blue Jays +10000
Washington Nationals +10000

Managing the playoffs in baseball is different than any other sport.  The game changes.  Pitching staff strategies change.  A team only needs 3 starting pitchers.  Maybe 4.  Because of that I look towards NL teams with a few good starting pitchers.

The San Francisco Giants at 30-1 are the team I’m taking a chance on.  The other team of interest to me is the Colorado Rockies at 25-1.

The baseball season takes so damn long that I’ll probably forget about this because I don’t like to have too much tied up for this long so I’ll keep any action low.

Go Yankees!

Go to Sportsbook.com for all sports betting fun.

World Series Prop Bets

This is my favorite time of the year.  The weather is getting warmer and baseball season is starting!  The first game of the year is this Sunday.  What better time to make World Series picks?  I don’t tend to make picks at the beginning of the baseball season because the season is so long.  After looking at the pre-season odds I may change my mind.

All odds are courtesy of sportsbook.com – where I do all of my online sports gambling.

Arizona Diamondbacks           +1500
Atlanta Braves             +3000
Baltimore Orioles         +8000
Boston Red Sox             +500
Chicago Cubs             +700
Chicago White Sox         +4000
Cincinnati Reds         +5000
Cleveland Indians         +1500
Colorado Rockies         +7500
Detroit Tigers             +2000
Florida Marlins         +3000
Houston Astros             +10000
Kansas City Royals         +8000
Los Angeles Angels         +1200
Los Angeles Dodgers         +1800
Milwaukee Brewers         +5000
Minnesota Twins         +3000
New York Mets             +700
New York Yankees         +350
Oakland Athletics         +4000
Philadelphia Phillies         +1500
Pittsburgh Pirates         +10000
San Diego Padres         +10000
San Francisco Giants         +3000
Seattle Mariners         +8000
St Louis Cardinals         +2500
Tampa Bay Rays             +1200
Texas Rangers             +10000
Toronto Blue Jays         +7500
Washington Nationals         +10000

Betting $100 returns the amount after the “+.”  There are plenty of good returns available.  The favorites such as the Yankees, Mets and Red Sox have a decent return.

There are good returns available for some of the teams that have an outside chance.  Giants and Marlins seem to have great pitching staffs.  The Tampa Bay Rays are 12-1 and last years champs, the Phillies, are 15-1.

All of this is making me reconsider not placing a few small bets before the season starts.  If I decide to make any bets, I’ll update this post this weekend.

UPDATE: I’ve decided not to make any World Series bets.  I need quicker gratification.  I’ll look to the Masters instead.

Bet on Baseball at sportsbook.com